The National Energy Commission (CNE) projects that the increase in electricity demand associated with electromobility will go from 179 GWh in 2026 to 986 GWh in 2030 , that is, it will multiply by approximately 5.5 in just four years .
The estimate is part of the 2026 Preliminary Report on Electricity Supply Tenders and is particularly relevant for companies involved in charging infrastructure: the projected growth will not be evenly distributed among concession holders. By 2030, Enel Distribución is expected to account for 413 GWh and CGE another 408 GWh , equivalent together to approximately 83% of the 986 GWh projected nationwide .
The figure corresponds to the increase in demand that the CNE attributes to the incorporation of electric vehicles within its projections for regulated customers. To calculate it, the agency uses information on charging installations declared to the Superintendency of Electricity and Fuels (SEC) through the TE6 procedure, electric vehicle sales, average consumption, and annual mileage by vehicle type.
Source: Preliminary Report on Electricity Supply Tenders (CNE)
CGE would take the lead from 2031
The leadership between the two major distribution areas changes immediately after 2030. While in that year Enel maintains a minimal difference over CGE —413 versus 408 GWh—, in 2031 CGE climbs to 506 GWh and exceeds the 479 GWh projected for Enel Distribución .
From there, the gap widens. The CNE projects that the additional demand associated with electric vehicles under CGE will reach 1110 GWh in 2035, 2691 GWh in 2040, and 6852 GWh in 2046. In the case of Enel, the figures reach 827 GWh, 1456 GWh, and 2488 GWh , respectively.
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This means that by 2046, CGE would account for approximately 58% of the projected national demand for electromobility , while Enel would account for around 21%. Although market concentration remains high, other distributors are also showing progressive growth.
Chilquinta, for example, will increase its capacity from 66 GWh in 2030 to 698 GWh in 2046 ; Saesa, from 31 to 579 GWh; and Frontel, from 19 to 439 GWh. This expansion anticipates that the needs related to grid connection and capacity will gradually extend to a greater number of territories.
CNE moderates its forecast, but growth remains strong
The update also represents a shift from what Chile projected just a year ago. In the 2025 Final Bidding Report , the National Energy Commission (CNE) expected electromobility to generate 1,302 GWh of additional demand in 2030. The 2026 estimate reduces that figure to 986 GWh , an adjustment of approximately 24% .
The difference widens towards the middle of the next decade. By 2035 , the previous forecast reached 4,542 GWh , while the new scenario establishes 2,384 GWh , almost 48% less . In 2045, the projection drops from 15,990 to 10,512 GWh .
Part of the change stems from the CNE updating its methodology. The 2025 report used the Carbon Neutrality scenario submitted by the Ministry of Energy. The 2026 edition, however, incorporated results from the PELP 2028-2032 Preliminary Report and specifically used scenario N2, called “Mitigated Trend-Based Regulatory,” in addition to updating the starting point with TE6 installations and actual vehicle sales.
Even with a more moderate trajectory than previously projected, growth remains significant. After reaching 986 GWh in 2030 , demand linked to electromobility is expected to rise to 2,384 GWh in 2035, 5,213 GWh in 2040, and 11,879 GWh in 2046 .
For companies in the charging ecosystem, the new scenario reduces the expected volume compared to previous calculations, but maintains a clear signal: electromobility will add an increasing load on the networks and a good part of that increase will initially be concentrated in the areas served by CGE and Enel Distribución , before extending more intensely to other concessionaires.