Peru could double its installed solar capacity by 2026, according to data published by OSINERGMIN. The report, corresponding to November 2025, estimates that if only projects in operation and those in the permitting process with definitive concessions are considered, non-conventional renewable capacity in the National Interconnected Electricity System (SEIN) could reach 3,383.6 MW next year. Photovoltaic capacity would reach 2,362.3 MW, while wind power would remain at 1,021.3 MW. This implies more than doubling the existing solar power, which currently stands at 938.2 MW , while wind capacity would not register any growth compared to its current value. The regulator warns that this projection corresponds exclusively to projects with definitive generation concessions granted by the Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) . The year-on-year evolution within the optimal scenario reveals sustained but moderate growth in non-conventional renewable capacity. By 2027 , OSINERGMIN estimates an installed capacity of 5109.2 MW , comprised of 3242.3 MW solar and 1866.9 MW wind .
By 2028 , the figure would increase slightly to 5203.4 MW , with a slight expansion of photovoltaic capacity to 3336.5 MW , while wind power would remain at 1866.9 MW . Then, in 2029 , the total projected capacity would reach 5346 MW , with wind power increasing to 2009.5 MW and no changes in solar power.
This progression reflects the consolidation of projects with definitive concessions, but it also marks the limit of growth under the current regulatory framework. Beyond this baseline scenario, OSINERGMIN also presents a general projection for 2026 , in which it estimates that installed non-conventional renewable capacity could reach 17,119.6 MW , comprised of 9,838.4 MW of solar technology and 7,281.2 MW of wind power .
This projected volume reflects the country's total technical potential for that year, assuming all projects in the pipeline move forward, and taking into account those with Pre-Operational Studies approved by COES. This difference between the 3.3 GW of the baseline scenario and the projected 17.1 GW highlights a significant gap between the country's technical potential and current regulatory feasibility. Of the 114 projects with Pre-Operational Studies (EPO) approved by COES , only 19 have obtained the final generation concession necessary to proceed with construction. Specifically, 14 of these projects are solar, with a total capacity of 2,398.3 MW, and 5 are wind, with 986.9 MW .
In contrast, the remaining 95 projects— 51 photovoltaic and 44 wind— total 21,142.8 MW , but have not yet received final authorization from the Ministry of Energy and Mines (MINEM) to begin construction. In this regard, OSINERGMIN projects that the installed renewable capacity in the National Interconnected System (SEIN) could reach 24.5 GW by 2030 .
This pipeline is comprised of 56% solar technology (15,185.4 MW) and 44% wind technology (9,344 MW) . This proportion confirms the predominance of photovoltaic development in the country's renewable energy pipeline , although its effective progress depends on unblocking the administrative concession processes. The geographical distribution of these projects shows a high concentration in the south of the country, especially in departments such as Arequipa (6,895.7 MW), Moquegua (3,924.2 MW), and Ica (4,911.9 MW combined between solar and wind).
Also noteworthy are northern regions such as Lambayeque (3983 MW) and Piura (2786.4 MW between both technologies), which confirms the extensive renewable potential throughout the national territory. 